Simon Johnson
British American economist and professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund. He worked on Russian economic reforms during his time at the IMF and now co-chairs the Systemic Risk Council alongside Erkki Liikanen. With Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson, he shared the 2024 Nobel Prize in Economics for research on how institutions shape long-run prosperity.
Johnson is a prolific co-author: 13 Bankers, on the political capture of Wall Street after the 2008 crisis; Jump-Starting America, with Jonathan Gruber, on place-based science policy; and, most recently, Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle over Technology and Prosperity (2023), written with Acemoglu. At MIT he co-runs a research centre on the future of work with Acemoglu and David Autor, and teaches a communications course built around the book, aimed at helping engineering students write persuasively about technology policy.
Core positions
- Technology’s gains are never automatic. Against what he calls ‘techno optimism’ — the view that productivity gains flow naturally to ordinary people — Johnson argues the historical record is decided by institutional choice: whether automation creates new tasks that raise worker productivity, or merely displaces workers without raising it (a pattern he and Acemoglu call ‘so-so technology’).
- Banking crises are a regulatory-design problem as much as a management one. His account of the 2023 Silicon Valley Bank failure centres on a 2018 rule change that raised the systemic-oversight threshold from $50 billion to $250 billion in assets, and on Sheila Bair’s proposal to haircut a failed bank’s uninsured depositors while insuring uninsured deposits system-wide to prevent contagion.
- Institutions predict long-run resilience, not short-run growth. He concedes institution-based theories have limited forecasting power over one-to-five-year horizons — South Korea’s 1960s takeoff and recent stalls in Ethiopia and Ghana were not foreseeable from institutional quality alone — but argues institutions create a ‘hysteresis effect’ that makes sustained growth harder to reverse once achieved.
- Not troubled by concentrated wealth; troubled by stagnant wages. He states plainly that the fortunes of the very richest ‘has never been a major concern’ of his; what concerns him is the stagnation of wages for workers without a university degree since the 1970s.
In the wiki
- Simon Johnson on Banking, Technology, and Prosperity — Conversations with Tyler, recorded ten days after the Silicon Valley Bank collapse: banking regulation and deposit insurance, the Power and Progress thesis on technology and shared prosperity, AI and task displacement, institutions and the middle-income trap, and a direct disagreement with Joel Mokyr on the timing of Industrial Revolution wage gains
See also
- Tyler Cowen — host
- Daron Acemoglu — co-author of Power and Progress and fellow 2024 Nobel laureate
- Joel Mokyr — disputed on how quickly the Industrial Revolution raised ordinary living standards